Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.434629 0.501672 0.574684 0.659973 0.756744 0.862998 0.988370
2025-08-31 0.308495 0.396663 0.502279 0.637538 0.805524 1.006613 1.264822
2025-09-07 0.260414 0.362154 0.492687 0.671143 0.907269 1.207312 1.615488
2025-09-14 0.210159 0.312618 0.451997 0.653346 0.934229 1.309185 1.843970
2025-09-21 0.173346 0.273778 0.417656 0.635795 0.954397 1.398154 2.057164
2025-09-28 0.145960 0.243499 0.389962 0.621909 0.974879 1.485381 2.271011
2025-10-05 0.131033 0.229523 0.383710 0.637432 1.037639 1.635701 2.584809
2025-10-12 0.122036 0.223444 0.388293 0.669063 1.126339 1.829799 2.976876
2025-10-19 0.111371 0.212877 0.384004 0.685272 1.191166 1.991166 3.329573
2025-10-26 0.100549 0.200400 0.374780 0.691710 1.239714 2.129356 3.654406
2025-11-02 0.090016 0.186898 0.362003 0.690223 1.273977 2.245807 3.950900
2025-11-09 0.079735 0.172389 0.345614 0.680278 1.292081 2.335776 4.208534
2025-11-16 0.070606 0.159084 0.330283 0.671291 1.312148 2.432428 4.488073
2025-11-23 0.061086 0.143635 0.309112 0.649190 1.306532 2.484418 4.695129
2025-11-30 0.058771 0.143067 0.316949 0.683408 1.407881 2.731939 5.261993
2025-12-07 0.051543 0.130647 0.299328 0.665317 1.407854 2.795958 5.503304
2025-12-14 0.045274 0.119426 0.282792 0.647470 1.406235 2.856084 5.740339
2025-12-21 0.040095 0.109958 0.268830 0.633350 1.410395 2.926640 6.000453
2025-12-28 0.037727 0.107000 0.268877 0.649135 1.476652 3.120405 6.506403
2026-01-04 0.036673 0.107205 0.276108 0.681297 1.579455 3.391968 7.178820
2026-01-11 0.034639 0.104559 0.276376 0.697778 1.650074 3.603864 7.746561
2026-01-18 0.032177 0.100388 0.272511 0.704324 1.699519 3.775889 8.244785
2026-01-25 0.029501 0.095205 0.265544 0.702812 1.730819 3.912251 8.678357